Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
LAS
1 - 1
FCU
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
FCU
1 - 0
PLA
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
SAC
0 - 0
FCU
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
FCU
1 - 1
SGD
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
VFL
1 - 1
FCU
27%
25%
49%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 2
CZJ
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BAB
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LAS
2 - 1
ERZ
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ERZ
3 - 0
PLA
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
SAC
4 - 0
ERZ
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |