Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
OPT
0 - 0
FCU
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
FCU
3 - 2
SGD
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
FCU
5 - 1
SSV
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
COT
3 - 1
FCU
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
HER
1 - 1
FCU
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 0
WAC
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 2
SGD
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
HZE
1 - 1
ERZ
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 3
BFC
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
SAC
1 - 1
ERZ
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |