Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
TUR
2 - 3
FCU
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1994 |
CZJ
1 - 1
FCU
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
FCU
0 - 0
COT
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
BFC
1 - 1
FCU
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
FCU
2 - 0
LAS
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1994 |
ERZ
0 - 2
CZJ
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
COT
0 - 2
ERZ
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
ERZ
2 - 4
BFC
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
LAS
1 - 2
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
ERZ
5 - 1
BSV
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |