Union Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
CHE
4 - 0
FCU
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
ERF
4 - 0
FCU
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1983 |
FCU
2 - 0
SGD
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
LOK
4 - 0
FCU
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
FCU
0 - 0
BWA
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
CZJ
2 - 3
MAG
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
BFC
2 - 0
CZJ
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1983 |
CZJ
1 - 0
HAL
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
MAG
0 - 0
CZJ
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
CZJ
6 - 0
ERF
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |