Union Berlin vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
SGD
3 - 2
FCU
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
FCU
1 - 1
ZWI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
FVF
1 - 0
FCU
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
FCU
1 - 2
CHE
41%
28%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
HAL
3 - 1
FCU
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
CZJ
5 - 3
MAG
48%
23%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
SGD
1 - 1
CZJ
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
CZJ
4 - 2
BWA
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
ZWI
3 - 1
CZJ
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
CZJ
4 - 2
BSG
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |