Union Berlin vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
MAG
4 - 1
FCU
78%
14%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
BCB
1 - 2
FCU
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 0
SGD
16%
24%
60%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 4
BFC
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
FCU
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
CHE
1 - 0
BWA
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
HAL
1 - 0
CHE
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
CHE
1 - 1
CZJ
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
CHE
1 - 0
BCB
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
SGD
4 - 1
CHE
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |