Union Berlin vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
ERF
7 - 1
FCU
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
FCU
0 - 0
BSG
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
CZJ
2 - 1
FCU
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
FCU
2 - 1
BSV
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
FCU
0 - 4
BFC
10%
19%
71%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
BWA
1 - 1
FVF
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
CHE
3 - 2
BWA
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
BWA
1 - 1
HAL
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
SGD
3 - 0
BWA
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
BWA
1 - 0
ROS
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |