Union Berlin vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
FCU
2 - 1
LOK
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
ERF
2 - 0
FCU
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
FCU
0 - 2
HAL
27%
28%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
ZWI
2 - 0
FCU
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
FCU
1 - 1
CZJ
20%
28%
52%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
BWA
1 - 4
BFC
19%
27%
54%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
LOK
2 - 0
BWA
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
BWA
5 - 2
CHL
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
ERF
1 - 0
BWA
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
BWA
3 - 0
MAG
21%
25%
55%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |