Union Berlin vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ABS
6 - 0
FCU
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
FCU
5 - 1
CHL
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 1951 |
SED
3 - 2
FCU
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
FCU
1 - 1
ERF
30%
23%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
BFM
1 - 3
FCU
67%
18%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
BWA
2 - 0
ZWI
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
BAB
0 - 1
BWA
55%
19%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ANK
4 - 3
BWA
26%
22%
53%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
BWA
5 - 0
SGD
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
HAL
3 - 3
BWA
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |