Union Berlin vs BSG Stahl Riesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
ZWI
0 - 1
FCU
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
FCU
3 - 4
ROS
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1968 |
VOW
1 - 1
FCU
66%
20%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1968 |
FCU
2 - 1
SGD
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1968 |
BWA
0 - 0
FCU
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
BSG
1 - 2
CZJ
21%
21%
57%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
HAL
3 - 0
BSG
71%
15%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |