Union Berlin vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
15º
14º
10
12º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 56 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 49 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 48 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 38 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
42% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STU
3 - 2
FCU
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 2
LEV
12%
19%
70%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
FCU
44%
27%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 0
SCF
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCU
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RTV
0 - 1
BRE
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 0
RTV
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
STU
2 - 0
RTV
73%
16%
10%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
RTV
2 - 0
BOS
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 1
LEV
9%
16%
75%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |