Union Berlin vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
FCU
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 1
ROS
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
FCU
1 - 1
BSG
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
LOK
2 - 1
FCU
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
FCU
0 - 0
ZWI
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
BFC
5 - 1
BWA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
HAL
0 - 0
BFC
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
CHE
1 - 2
BFC
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
BFC
6 - 0
BCB
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
SGD
1 - 1
BFC
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |