Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
EIN
2 - 2
FCU
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
FCU
3 - 0
SAA
71%
18%
10%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCU
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
FCU
2 - 0
WAL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
REU
1 - 2
FCU
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2002 |
ARB
3 - 2
SGF
51%
23%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
MSV
2 - 1
ARB
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ARB
1 - 1
KSC
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2002 |
ARB
4 - 1
EIN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
SAA
0 - 2
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |