Union Berlin vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
FCU
0 - 5
LEV
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FCU
1 - 0
ARB
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCU
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FCU
2 - 2
SSV
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
UNT
1 - 1
FCU
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
AAA
1 - 1
MUN
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
AAA
2 - 0
EIN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SSV
1 - 2
AAA
38%
24%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2003 |
AAA
5 - 1
UNT
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
LUB
3 - 5
AAA
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |