1. FC Sand vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Sand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
MEM
3 - 0
SAN
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
WUR
5 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 0
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
SEL
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
SAN
28%
23%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 2
AMB
28%
23%
50%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AUB
6 - 4
ERB
69%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ERB
1 - 5
WUR
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 1
ERB
49%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
ERB
34%
24%
43%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |