1. FC Sand vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Sand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
WUR
1 - 3
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 0
ING
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FEU
0 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAY
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
AUG
4 - 1
SAN
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
TSV
5 - 0
BAY
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 1
186
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
QUF
0 - 1
BAY
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
ING
2 - 2
BAY
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
BAY
3 - 1
FEU
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |