1. FC Mülheim vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Mülheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
WAB
2 - 2
FCM
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
OWI
2 - 2
FCM
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
FCM
2 - 0
STP
23%
21%
55%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
DJK
1 - 1
FCM
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 1
WAT
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
SWE
4 - 0
OWI
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
SWE
3 - 1
ISC
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
STP
5 - 1
SWE
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 0
DJK
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 2
ROT
29%
22%
49%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |