1. FC Mülheim vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Mülheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
WHE
6 - 1
FCM
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
FCM
3 - 1
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
FCM
4 - 3
STP
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
PRE
3 - 1
FCM
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
SSV
4 - 5
FCM
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
ARB
3 - 1
WUP
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
TEN
2 - 0
ARB
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
OSN
2 - 0
ARB
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ISC
2 - 0
ARB
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
SWE
2 - 2
ARB
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |