1.FC Monheim vs SF Niederwenigern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
17º
14º
15
16º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1.FC Monheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
1FC
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
1FC
2 - 1
MFC
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 1
1FC
37%
23%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
1FC
3 - 0
BWM
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
1FC
4 - 1
SGU
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SF Niederwenigern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SFN
0 - 2
KLE
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TEU
3 - 1
SFN
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 4
GRA
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 1
ENN
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 3
DAK
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |