Magdeburg II vs Blau-Weiß Zorbau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
4º
1º
16
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 55 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SVG
1 - 1
MAG
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
3 - 0
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RSV
2 - 0
MAG
17%
20%
63%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
AUE
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
VIK
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SVB
0 - 0
BUD
40%
21%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 1
SVB
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
5 - 1
EIN
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +4 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
SVB
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 1
SVB
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +1 |