Köln vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
MUN
2 - 1
KOL
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
OBE
2 - 5
KOL
6%
13%
81%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
S04
2 - 1
KOL
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
KOL
1 - 2
KAI
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WOL
3 - 2
BYM
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
BER
1 - 6
WOL
7%
18%
76%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
WOL
0 - 2
PRG
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 0
WOL
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
WOL
5 - 1
HSV
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |