Köln vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
BOH
0 - 3
KOL
30%
24%
47%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
MSV
1 - 1
KOL
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
KOL
3 - 1
ROT
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
STU
3 - 1
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
KOL
2 - 1
BOH
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROT
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
BYM
2 - 1
BRE
84%
11%
6%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
0 - 0
OFC
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1972 |
MON
2 - 2
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
4 - 0
HSV
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |