Köln vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 2
KOL
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
KOL
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
OFC
1 - 3
KOL
27%
24%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
KOL
2 - 1
WEH
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
SCF
1 - 0
KOL
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
OSN
2 - 0
TUS
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 0
OSN
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
OSN
2 - 0
KAI
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
STP
2 - 1
OSN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
OSN
0 - 2
AUG
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |