Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 17-0
Köln vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
MUN
2 - 1
KOL
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 0
BRE
64%
19%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 1
S04
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
ULU
0 - 4
KOL
24%
22%
55%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
MSV
2 - 3
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
ULU
0 - 4
KOL
24%
22%
55%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
MUN
6 - 0
ULU
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
ULU
0 - 4
MUN
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ULU
2 - 3
HSV
25%
18%
57%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
HSV
4 - 0
ULU
79%
11%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |