Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-6
Köln vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
STU
0 - 1
KOL
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1966 |
KOL
1 - 1
TAS
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 2
KAI
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
HAN
1 - 1
KOL
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1965 |
FCN
2 - 0
KOL
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 1
UJP
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
UJP
3 - 0
EVE
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
UJP
3 - 1
VCF
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
VCF
5 - 2
UJP
72%
16%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
LPL
1 - 3
UJP
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |