Köln vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
59.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
0 - 6
KOL
7%
13%
81%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
0 - 3
WOL
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 2
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 2
RTV
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 1
BWL
89%
9%
2%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 2
HOF
9%
15%
76%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 1
M05
67%
19%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 5
FCN
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
1 - 0
SGF
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
7 - 1
WEH
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |