Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Köln vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
KOL
1 - 2
HSV
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
EIN
4 - 3
KOL
50%
23%
28%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
RTV
0 - 2
KOL
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
KOL
5 - 2
STU
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
KAI
1 - 2
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
QPR
3 - 1
TOT
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
TOT
1 - 1
IPS
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
ARS
0 - 1
TOT
45%
28%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
TOT
4 - 2
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOT
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |