DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 3-1
Köln vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 2
KAI
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
HAN
1 - 1
KOL
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1965 |
FCN
2 - 0
KOL
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
KOL
6 - 1
BYM
63%
18%
19%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
HSV
2 - 2
KOL
44%
23%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
TAS
0 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
KSC
3 - 0
TAS
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1965 |
TAS
0 - 2
EBT
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1965 |
TAS
1 - 2
S04
37%
24%
38%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
NEU
3 - 1
TAS
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |