Köln vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
3.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
NEU
2 - 1
KOL
27%
22%
51%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 0
EBT
74%
16%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1966 |
EIN
0 - 0
KOL
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
BYM
2 - 0
KOL
50%
21%
29%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 1
MUN
55%
21%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
TAS
0 - 9
MSV
25%
24%
52%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
STU
2 - 0
TAS
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
TAS
1 - 1
KAI
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
HAN
5 - 0
TAS
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
TAS
0 - 1
FCN
18%
20%
62%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |