Köln vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1998 |
HAN
6 - 1
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
KOL
0 - 1
ROS
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
M05
2 - 1
KOL
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
KOL
1 - 1
ULM
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
KOL
0 - 1
UNT
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
MEP
0 - 1
STP
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1998 |
STP
1 - 2
ARB
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1998 |
KSC
3 - 0
STP
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
STP
1 - 0
WAT
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
SGF
1 - 0
STP
29%
28%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |