Köln vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
MON
2 - 1
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
KOL
0 - 0
BVB
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
LEV
1 - 2
KOL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
KOL
0 - 1
KAI
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
SCF
2 - 0
KOL
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
STP
1 - 2
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
BYM
1 - 1
STP
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
STP
2 - 1
EIN
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1996 |
STP
2 - 1
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
STU
1 - 1
STP
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |