Köln vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1990 |
KOL
2 - 0
ANT
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
LEV
0 - 2
KOL
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1990 |
KOL
1 - 1
BYM
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
KAI
1 - 2
KOL
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
KOL
0 - 1
KFC
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1990 |
STP
1 - 1
KSC
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1990 |
HOM
0 - 2
STP
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
STP
2 - 1
MON
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
FCN
0 - 1
STP
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1989 |
STP
2 - 1
BVB
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |