Europa League Last 16
Global 2-1
Köln vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
KOL
2 - 0
KAI
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1984 |
KOL
3 - 1
LEV
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
KSC
1 - 4
KOL
38%
25%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
56%
22%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1984 |
HAN
2 - 1
KOL
32%
22%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
56%
22%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
SPA
2 - 0
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
LOK
1 - 1
SPA
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SPA
2 - 1
OBK
99%
1%
0%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
OBK
1 - 5
SPA
2%
23%
75%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |