Europa League 1/16
Global 0-3
Köln vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1975 |
KOL
1 - 0
RTV
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
F95
0 - 0
KOL
43%
24%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 0
KOL
33%
23%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1975 |
KOL
8 - 2
SCF
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
KOL
3 - 0
ROT
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 0
KOL
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
AIK
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
AIK
1 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
VEL
2 - 0
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
SPA
3 - 1
VEL
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |