Köln vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
HSV
1 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
S04
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
HEI
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 1
KOL
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 2
MSV
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SGD
3 - 1
SVS
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCU
0 - 0
SGD
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SGD
1 - 1
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 2
SGD
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SGD
0 - 1
SGF
46%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |