Köln vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
BVB
2 - 0
KOL
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
KOL
1 - 3
M05
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
KOL
3 - 1
KFC
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
EBT
2 - 2
KOL
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
KOL
3 - 4
KAI
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
S04
2 - 0
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
S04
1 - 0
HES
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
STU
2 - 1
S04
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
S04
2 - 4
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
S04
3 - 3
SGF
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |