Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
KOL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
KOL
0 - 3
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
3 - 2
KOL
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
KOL
3 - 0
AUG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
HOF
2 - 1
KOL
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 1
HAN
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HOF
1 - 1
SCF
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 2
HER
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCN
1 - 2
SCF
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
0 - 1
LEV
17%
22%
62%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |