Köln vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
STU
0 - 1
KOL
31%
23%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1963 |
KOL
5 - 1
KAI
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
BVB
2 - 3
KOL
53%
20%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
SHW
1 - 2
KOL
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
FCN
2 - 2
KOL
61%
19%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
S04
4 - 1
SAA
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1963 |
SAA
0 - 4
EIN
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
BRE
0 - 3
SAA
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
HER
3 - 2
SAA
45%
22%
34%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
SAA
1 - 1
PRE
60%
20%
21%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |