Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Köln vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
1 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
S04
3 - 1
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1969 |
MUN
2 - 1
KOL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 1
KAI
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
HAN
3 - 0
KOL
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
SLI
0 - 2
RAN
36%
22%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
RAN
6 - 0
SLI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
SHR
1 - 2
RAN
46%
21%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
RAN
1 - 0
SHR
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
RAN
0 - 2
HSV
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |