Champions League Last 16
Global 3-2
Köln vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
S04
2 - 3
KOL
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
KOL
1 - 1
MUN
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
PAN
1 - 1
KOL
31%
22%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
KAI
2 - 2
KOL
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
KOL
4 - 1
KSC
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
PAN
1 - 1
KOL
31%
22%
47%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
PAN
3 - 2
GLE
65%
17%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
GLE
2 - 2
PAN
42%
21%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
PAN
1 - 4
TSP
73%
14%
13%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
TSP
2 - 1
PAN
30%
21%
49%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |