Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SGF
1 - 2
KOL
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
KOL
1 - 2
MUN
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SCF
0 - 0
KOL
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
KOL
0 - 1
ERZ
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
TUS
3 - 1
KOL
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
MSV
4 - 0
CZJ
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
EBT
1 - 1
MSV
24%
26%
51%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MSV
3 - 0
AUG
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
OFC
0 - 0
MSV
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MSV
1 - 1
KAI
39%
25%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |