Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1995 |
MON
0 - 0
KOL
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1995 |
KOL
2 - 0
SCF
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1995 |
RTV
1 - 0
KOL
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
KOL
1 - 1
BRE
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1995 |
KOL
0 - 1
WOL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1995 |
MSV
1 - 1
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1995 |
HSV
3 - 0
MSV
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
LEV
2 - 0
MSV
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
MSV
0 - 2
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
SCF
3 - 0
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |