Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
EIN
1 - 2
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
RAN
0 - 3
KOL
40%
24%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
1 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 1
RAN
71%
17%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
S04
3 - 1
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
MSV
2 - 0
BVB
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
BRE
2 - 1
MSV
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
MSV
0 - 0
BYM
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1969 |
STU
3 - 2
MSV
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1969 |
MSV
1 - 1
EBT
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |