Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1965 |
KOL
0 - 0
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1965 |
BRE
0 - 0
KOL
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 1
STU
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
FCN
2 - 0
KOL
55%
20%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1965 |
NEU
1 - 1
KOL
29%
21%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
MSV
0 - 1
EBT
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 2
HSV
22%
21%
57%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
EIN
2 - 3
MSV
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
ENM
0 - 1
MSV
36%
23%
41%
|
80 | 20 | 60 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1965 |
MSV
2 - 0
EBT
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |