UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Köln vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
KOL
1 - 1
SDL
69%
17%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
CAO
0 - 2
KOL
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
KOL
3 - 0
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
MPT
1 - 3
KOL
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
BVB
2 - 1
KOL
71%
18%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
MPL
3 - 0
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
SVA
1 - 1
MPL
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
MPL
3 - 1
ČUK
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
BRI
1 - 2
MPL
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
MPL
1 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |