Köln vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
59%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 1
GCZ
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 4
KOL
21%
21%
59%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
USM
1 - 12
KOL
8%
16%
76%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
STU
2 - 1
KOL
31%
24%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 1
WOL
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
SAS
0 - 3
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACM
2 - 0
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VER
1 - 3
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
60%
22%
17%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |