DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 5-3
Köln vs Kickers Offenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1972 |
KOL
0 - 1
S04
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
OFC
3 - 1
KOL
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1972 |
BRE
2 - 2
KOL
36%
26%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1971 |
KOL
5 - 0
EFV
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 7 | 79 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1971 |
KOL
3 - 0
HSV
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Offenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
BAY
1 - 1
OFC
18%
24%
58%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
OFC
3 - 1
KOL
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
OFC
2 - 1
SGF
84%
12%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
LUD
1 - 1
OFC
14%
24%
63%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
OFC
4 - 0
SSV
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |