Köln vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
13º
3º
13
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
37% | 30.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
MAG
58%
21%
20%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
S04
1 - 3
KOL
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
5 - 0
EBT
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 3
KOL
16%
20%
64%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ELV
2 - 2
KOL
25%
22%
53%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 0
S04
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EBT
1 - 2
KSC
18%
22%
61%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 2
ELV
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 5
KSC
5%
11%
84%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
F95
0 - 0
KSC
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |