Köln vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SSV
2 - 3
KOL
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 1
SGD
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
KOL
36%
26%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 1
FSV
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
FCU
2 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
KAI
3 - 1
SVS
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ING
1 - 1
KAI
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 1
EBT
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
RTV
1 - 2
KAI
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 1
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |