Köln vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1976 |
ITZ
0 - 7
KOL
16%
19%
66%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
KOL
1 - 2
RVO
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
MON
2 - 1
KOL
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
KOL
1 - 0
BYM
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
OFC
1 - 5
KOL
42%
24%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1976 |
KAI
1 - 0
VFR
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1976 |
HSV
2 - 0
KAI
61%
20%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
KAI
1 - 3
S04
55%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
F95
5 - 1
KAI
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
KAI
1 - 2
KFC
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |